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Stats modeling the world9/16/2023 ![]() Why the effective reproduction number (R) is a critical and reliable predictor “Our very detailed methods calculate those critical reproduction numbers, providing rich insights into how COVID-19 behaves and impacts targeted populations.” “We believe that our team has developed an accurate and reliable way for modeling the epidemic spread of COVID-19,” said Yumou Qiu, assistant professor of statistics at Iowa State University, and member of the research group. Epidemiologists agree that R values reveal critical characteristics of a virus-such as how contagious it is and how rapidly it is spreading through a population. ![]() Data reveals that COVID-19 spread continues throughout Iowa and signals that social distancing has reduced transmission ratesĪ team of researchers in the Department of Statistics at Iowa State University has developed an extended varying coefficient SEIR (Susceptible Exposed Infectious Recovered) model for calculating COVID-19’s effective reproduction number (R). ![]()
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